The West Is Collapsing As Russia is Rising

An Analysis of Fourth Turning cycles for Russia and The West

The US and Europe appear to be entering a period of tyranny and economic collapse while Russia is liberalising and rebuilding their culture after the catastrophic collapse of communism. Russia is rising (from a low level) while The West is entering their collapse (from a high level). 

It appears that the West entered it’s nightmare crisis period in 2008/09, right on-time with the long-anticipated crisis period predicted by Howe and Strauss in their "Fourth Turning" book published in 1997. See my post "The US At War With Itself and the World: Fourth Turning Crisis, Meet Deagel."

We even have an unabashed Neo-Communist, Neo-Nazi in Klaus Schwab (another German meglomaniac), cheerleading total government control and tyranny in the former lands of liberal democracy. He's another dipshit "academic" of course, born into wealth, who knows nothing of the 'real' world— alot like the “ship of fools” in Washington, DC. We also hear that crypto-money may be forced on us in order to monitor, tax and control us more efficiently (how very Germanic). He's insane but many world leaders across the world are influenced and/or controlled by him. 

You could argue that the US and Europe are ENTERING INTO this "Schwabian" neo-communism as they collapse economically, monetarily and socially.  It's intentional. This is occuring while Russia is enjoying increased freedom, improved prosperity and renewal of their historic culture under the leadership of Putin (in spite of the Ukraine conflict and energy embargos which have actually strengthened Russia and badly hurt the EU).

The West is in the grip of a self-manufactured "climate change" suicide pact as discussed in my posts "Climate Non-Emergency; Corrupt, Stupid Politicians are the BIGGEST Danger to YOU, the World and Civilization" and "No Climate Emergency; We Face a Manufactured Energy Emergency."  Reliable, high intensity oil and gas are being phased-out far too quickly as higher cost, low reliability, low quality, "intermittent" energy sources still only produce about 5% of our energy needs.

"Climate change" is the new religion in The West. It's really more of a media and government-induced hysteria. This despite little real world evidence that the slight warming seen in the past 80 years is anywhere near a crisis. Temperatures have been warming and seas have been rising very gradually for 10,000 years since the last ice age and we've adapted --- and we will continue to adapt. But governments want to make it an imminent crisis for more control and divert attention from the core problems THAT THEY CREATED.  

Instead, 'real' religion has declined in the West. And our freedom of the press has been perverted and degraded to serve the government and the completely dominant Democrat Party's propaganda of the day. An insidious and incestuous relationship between Big Media, Big Tech and even bigger Government has created an "American Pravda." Relationships between children and their parents are now being subverted by radical leftists who want to control and program them. Fifty years of unsound money and unsound public policy has left the next generation priced-out of most everything important: college, home ownership, personal transportation, ie., a life! There is little hope for our next generation. It's unsustainable.

Our monetary systems are near collapse in The West. We've had nothing but emergency measures since the GFC in 2009/09: zero or negative interest rates, ongoing monetary manipulations and debt-fueled spending to avoid crisis conditions by the Federal Reserve and Government.  Pension funds in the EU are ruined due to EU-led negative interest rates. Now that self-inflicted inflation has surged, negative rates are gone, bonds have crashed, zero rates are gone and an entirely new regime of rising rates is finally exposing vast amounts of leverage and financial fraud. The FTX fraud and blow-up is a good example. Every speculative market is imploding. Stock markets are likely to crash as major frauds are exposed and financial 'blowups' proliferate. Entire countries are likely to collapse. Mostly, it'll be excess liquidity that will be destroyed. Already ~$20 Trillion has gone to "money heaven" as cryptos, bonds, IPOs, SPACS and stocks implode. Wait until rates reach 5 or 6%. They might need to be 7%.

So bad are our problems, we're being led into a "climate change" war with Russia, presumably to divert attention from all of our "leader's" various failures. The West is literally dying for a war against Russia and their energy supplies. No one is calling for peace. It's all about diversion from real problems using fake problems and fake solutions.  Leaders in the West call Vladimir Putin "Hitler" in a strange psychological projection of their own mental states. You have radically increasing tyranny in the US under the "Biden Junta" and by the entirely undemocratic EU "leadership."  I have many times called the 2020 stolen election and President Trump's Coup d'etat as our Bolshevik revolution. The 2022 midterms elections also look horrible and fraudulent. We really live in the golden age of fraud.

Ironically, it is Putin who has been recently commenting that Russia saw the same type of hysteria, tyranny and conflict that we're seeing in The West during their 1917 Bolshevik revolution.  In my post: Putin Warns the West of Our Creeping Bolshevism and Ultimate Suicide, there Putin make note of the similarities of the Russian Revolution with the gathering political and hysteria sweeping the West today:

Russia’s president Vladimir Putin was recently making a case that western civilization is on the brink of collapse during a discussion at the recent Valdai Club meeting. Putin likened the Woke situation and the gender fluidity nonsense in America to what happened when the Bolcheviks took over Russia in 1917.

Putin said: “After the 1917 revolution, the Bolsheviks, relying on the dogmas of Marx and Engels, also said that they would change existing ways and customs and not just political and economic ones, but the very notion of human morality and the foundations of a healthy society. The destruction of age-old values, religion and relations between people, up to and including the total rejection of family (we had that, too), encouragement to inform on loved ones — all this was proclaimed progress and, by the way, was widely supported around the world back then and was quite fashionable, same as today.”

The West ignores Putin's comments and insights -- because 'Hitler.'  You can skip the analysis below if you wish. I won't be offended. It's somewhat academic really.

Comparing Fourth Turning cycles for The West and Russia

I'll try to apply a roughly 80 year historical cycle theory expounded by Howe and Strauss in The Fourth Turning for both US and Russia.  I will try to make my point that "The West" and Russia are at different points in their  (4th Turning) cycles--- where Russia is recovering and The West is mid-crisis. 

Russia's Previous Crisis Cycle--The Bolshevik Takeover and Russian Civil War

Russia had a bloody Bolshevik revolution led by Trotsky and Lenin against their imperial rulers and a subsequent civil war in 1917. Note that was at that time where Europe was embroiled in a disastrous world war (WW1).  In 1918, the Romanov family was executed by the die-hard communists.  The Russian Civil War ended in 1923 with Lenin’s Red Army claiming victory and establishing the hard-line communist Soviet Union.  For argument sake, let's assume that 1923 was the end of that particular crisis period.

Russia's Recent Crisis Cycle -- The Collapse of the Soviet Union

Breshnev died in 1982, Andropov succeeded him in 1983 but he died in 1984 to be succeeded by the feeble old Chernenko, who already terminally ill, he died in March 1985.  (Notice how all of these leaders were ill, old, alcoholic. It reminds me of our old, senile, decrepit “leadership” in the US today.) Gorbachov was elected party chief in 1985. 

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 ushered in the collapse of Soviet influence on Eastern Europe and the Caucasus. East Germany re-united with W. Germany by October 1990.  The Soviet Union and it's government completely collapsed, the Ruble collapsed, the country collapsed.  That crisis wasn't finished until political moderate Vladimir Putin was elected President in year 2000 and remains in the key leadership ever since. 

Russia's Renewal/Recovery Cycle (after the Crisis)

So, the start of Glasnost in Russia under Gorbachov in 1985 eventually led to the rise of another political moderate Vlad Putin.  Putin was in 1999 in Moscow under Yeltsin and was elected President 2000 and has been in power until today. The year 2000 is very close to 80 years after the end of the Bolshevik crisis and civil war ending in 1923 with Lenin taking control. So, the ~80 year Fourth Turning cycle of history roughly holds here. "Spring" began in Russia in 2000 to 2004. 

So, arguably, there is about an 80 year cycle (+/-) of history in Russia:  The Russia revolution and the rise of Lenin ended a crisis period in 1923. Then, about 80 years later, the rise of President Putin ended their crisis of decrepit leadership and total collapse with his rise to the presidency in 2000, or about 80 years from 1923.

In contrast The USA crisis period began in 2008/09. 

The US Fourth Turning Cycle

The US has been in the ~20 year Fourth Turning crisis period since 2008, starting with the great financial crisis of 2008/2009. Theoretically then,  our current crisis phase should end about 2025 to 2028 and, from Howe and Strauss, we should expect a major war, maybe total war, to end the crisis period.  (The Fourth Turning book from 1997 uses 2025 as a target finale). 

I propose that 2025 is the end of our current crisis period as it would be exactly 80 years after the end of the last 4th Turning crisis period end or 1945 -- the end of World War (and 70 to 85 million deaths). 

Summary

Russia and the West are at different points in their ~80 year historical cycle as proposed by Strauss and Howe.  Russia is now in it's 20 year long "springtime period" or “recovery period” having had, and survived, it's most recent 4th Turning crisis period. 

In summary, Russia is enjoying the rebuilding and re-establishing of Russian culture from it's communist nightmare and near-death. Putin is now building Orthodox churches, encouraging freedom of expression and lecturing the Bolsheviks in Washington DC about their descent into anarchy, hysteria, severe  and near-totalitarianism.