Here's something interesting: "A rare blue supermoon could raise tides above normal just as Hurricane Idalia takes aim at Florida’s west coast, exacerbating flooding from the storm."
There's a huge storm surge in that NW Florida area. I think the fact that the storm is coming SW to NE into a coastal bend is allowing water to "pile-up." The observed storm surge is a sign of at least hurricane strength. So, that's a data point that doesn't seem to fit with the above analysis.
Here's something interesting: "A rare blue supermoon could raise tides above normal just as Hurricane Idalia takes aim at Florida’s west coast, exacerbating flooding from the storm."
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/supermoon-could-team-up-with-hurricane-idalia-to-raise-tides-higher-just-as-the-storm-makes-landfall/ar-AA1fXfTU
There's a huge storm surge in that NW Florida area. I think the fact that the storm is coming SW to NE into a coastal bend is allowing water to "pile-up." The observed storm surge is a sign of at least hurricane strength. So, that's a data point that doesn't seem to fit with the above analysis.